This guide walks through what a +500 American moneyline means for soccer markets, how to calculate payouts and implied probability, and how to approach long-shot selections responsibly. It is written for readers who want clear, practical steps for how to bet on soccer, with worked examples you can use in a spreadsheet or quick mental check.

#ERROR! (Formula parse error.)

Convert +500 to implied probability using 100 / (odds + 100); +500 equals about 16.67 percent before vig.

Remove bookmaker margin and compare markets to judge value, and size stakes to control long-shot variance.

how to bet on soccer: what +500 means at a glance

When you see +500 on an American moneyline, it marks an underdog outcome and tells you how much profit a $100 stake would return if that outcome wins, which makes the number easy to read at a glance. If you are learning how to bet on soccer, this single example clarifies the metric quickly and gives you a practical starting point.

In concrete terms, a +500 price on a moneyline means a $100 stake wins $500 profit and returns $600 total if successful, a convention used across U.S. sportsbook displays and explanatory resources Investopedia moneyline guide.

Short definition

+500 is a positive American moneyline price that marks an underdog outcome and expresses profit relative to a $100 stake.

One-line payout example

If you stake $100 at +500 and the selection wins, your profit is $500 and your total payout back to you is $600, which equals stake plus profit.

quick spreadsheet formulas to compute profit, total payout, and implied chance

Validate odds as positive numbers

How American moneyline odds work and how +500 fits in

American moneyline odds use positive and negative signs to show different relationships between stake and payout; positive numbers like +500 show profit on a $100 stake, while negative numbers show how much you must stake to win $100.

Positive vs negative moneyline numbers

When a price is written plus-something, the figure tells the profit for a $100 bet; when it is negative, it tells how much you must risk to secure a $100 profit. That symmetry helps bettors compare favorites and underdogs quickly Investopedia moneyline guide.

How sportsbooks display soccer markets

Soccer markets may be displayed as two-way or three-way moneylines; three-way formats list home, draw, and away separately, so +500 can belong to any single listed outcome while the draw or the other side will have its own price Investopedia three-way moneyline article.

Implied probability: converting +500 into a percent chance

Implied probability converts odds into a simple percent that represents the market's view before removing bookmaker margin; for positive American odds the formula is straightforward and practical to apply.

Formula for positive American odds

The formula for implied probability on positive American odds is 100 divided by (odds plus 100). Use this to turn +500 into a percent number and to compare chances across markets Investopedia implied probability overview or try a calculator like Omni Calculator.

What does a +500 odds mean in soccer moneyline betting?

A +500 odds is a positive American moneyline that indicates an underdog where a $100 stake wins $500 profit; the implied probability is 100/(odds + 100), which for +500 is about 16.67 percent before accounting for bookmaker margin.

Example calculation for +500

Applying the formula to +500 gives 100 / (500 + 100) = 100 / 600, which equals about 16.67 percent as the implied probability before any bookmaker margin is removed, a standard conversion used in educational resources Pinnacle odds conversion guide. See also OddsJam.

Payout math: calculate profit and total return for +500

For positive American odds the profit formula is stake times odds divided by 100, and the total payout equals stake plus profit; these two formulas let you compute outcomes for any stake quickly and reliably.

Profit formula for positive odds

Close up mobile betting screen showing home draw away buttons with away highlighted odds plus 500 and a small calculator icon minimalist Funded Plays style dark background how to bet on soccer

Use profit = stake × (odds / 100). For example, a $50 stake at +500 gives profit = 50 × (500 / 100) = 250, which is the amount you net if the bet wins Investopedia moneyline guide.

How to compute total payout

Total payout equals stake plus profit, so in the earlier example the $50 stake returns $50 + $250 = $300. Apply the same two-step math for $10, $50, and $100 stakes to validate calculator outputs Investopedia moneyline guide.

How three-way soccer markets treat a +500 price

Soccer commonly uses three-way moneylines that list home, draw, and away separately; seeing +500 on the away line does not tell you the draw price, which is priced independently and must be read alongside the other two outcomes to understand market balance Investopedia three-way moneyline article.

Difference between two-way and three-way moneylines

In two-way markets, like some neutral or special markets, draw outcomes are handled differently or not available; in standard full-match soccer betting, three-way odds are the norm and each outcome's price stands on its own.

Short example

Consider a market shown as home -120, draw +240, away +500; the +500 applies only to the away outcome and the draw price is independent when you compute implied probabilities or payouts.

Funded Plays Challenges

Explore FundedPlays Challenges

Removing the bookmaker margin: estimating a fair probability for +500

Posted implied probabilities include the bookmaker's margin, often called the overround or vig, which inflates individual implied chances so totals exceed 100 percent; recognizing this helps you estimate a fairer probability for any listed price Pinnacle odds conversion guide.

What the overround is and why it matters

Bookmakers build a margin into prices so the sum of implied probabilities across all outcomes usually exceeds 100 percent; that excess is the overround and it means posted implied percentages are not direct measures of true chance.

Simple methods to adjust implied probabilities

A practical proportional adjustment divides each implied probability by the total market implied sum to rescale values to 100 percent, which gives a quick, approximate fair chance for each outcome while acknowledging the method's simplifications Pinnacle odds conversion guide.

Risk and variance: why +500 is a long shot and how to manage it

At +500 the implied probability is low and the outcome behaves like a long shot, which means high variance and a low hit rate over time; readers should recognize that backing many +500 outcomes will produce volatile short-term returns even if occasional wins are large American Gaming Association how-to guide.

Try a disciplined approach to long-shot soccer selections

Set a practical betting budget and use the checklist here to limit exposure to long-shot odds like +500; treat these selections as high-variance plays and size stakes accordingly.

Explore FundedPlays Challenges

Variance and long-shot behavior

Long-shot bets such as those priced at +500 are more likely to lose on any single trial, so bankrolls can fall quickly without disciplined stake sizing; framing +500 as a rare outcome helps you plan how often to back such prices and how large each stake should be relative to your total funds Massachusetts consumer primer.

Budgeting and risk controls

Practical controls include flat-staking small amounts, limiting the proportion of bankroll exposed to long shots, and tracking results to avoid chasing losses; authoritative consumer education emphasizes these basics for safe participation American Gaming Association how-to guide.

Practical staking approaches with +500 examples

Two common staking approaches are flat stakes, where you place the same dollar amount each time, and percentage staking, where each bet is a fixed share of your bankroll; both approaches help control variance if applied consistently American Gaming Association how-to guide.

Flat stakes vs proportional stakes

With flat staking a bettor might place $10 per selection regardless of bank size; with percentage staking the same bettor might risk 1 percent of bankroll per selection, which reduces exposure as the bank falls and increases it as the bank rises.

Example stake plans for small bankrolls

For a $200 bankroll, a conservative plan might limit long-shot exposure to a small percentage such as 1 percent per long-shot selection, which keeps expected variance manageable while allowing occasional attempts at higher payoffs Massachusetts consumer primer.

Keep long-shot exposure limited

Whichever method you use, cap total exposure to long shots like +500 within your broader budget so a string of losses does not undermine other staking strategies or your enjoyment of following matches.

Common mistakes and pitfalls when interpreting +500 odds

Confusing profit with total return is a frequent error; remember that +500 indicates profit on a $100 stake, not the total you receive back, which includes your original stake as well.

Misreading payout vs implied chance

Another pitfall is treating posted implied probability as a fair probability without accounting for bookmaker margin; that can mislead you into overestimating how much edge a price actually offers Pinnacle odds conversion guide.

Ignoring the draw or market context

In three-way soccer markets ignoring the draw price can produce poor comparisons; always read home, draw, and away together and factor the draw into your overall assessment Investopedia three-way moneyline article.

Build a simple +500 calculator: logic and quick checks

To build a manual calculator or spreadsheet, use these formulas: profit = stake × (odds / 100); total payout = stake + profit; implied percent = 100 / (odds + 100). These three formulas cover the typical checks you need to validate results Investopedia implied probability overview.

Calculator formulas to implement

Place Stake in one column, Odds in the next, then compute Profit with the formula Stake*(Odds/100) and Total as Stake+Profit; add a column for ImpliedPercent using 100/(Odds+100) for quick verification.

Minimal 2D vector split illustration of a cash stack and a disciplined notebook with staking plan visuals no text how to bet on soccer

Small validation checks to avoid errors

Sanity checks include ensuring implied probabilities fall between 0 and 100 percent, verifying that profit scales linearly with stake, and confirming that odds are entered as positive integers for the positive-odds formulas to work reliably.

Scenario walkthroughs: three soccer examples with a +500 outcome

Lower-division upset example

Imagine an away side in a lower-division cup match listed at +500. The implied probability is about 16.67 percent and a $20 stake would return $20 + $100 = $120 profit calculation via the profit formula; that helps you see the concrete payoffs before placing a ticket Investopedia moneyline guide. Also consider tools like AceOdds.

Cup tie long-shot case

In cup ties where a weaker side plays a stronger opponent, +500 might reflect underdog status plus factors like rotation and venue; before backing such prices, check team news and compare alternative market prices to decide if the payout justifies the low implied chance Investopedia three-way moneyline article.

Market-comparison example

When markets differ, remove the vig proportionally across outcomes and compare the adjusted implied percentages to your own estimate of true chance to see if +500 represents value relative to those corrected numbers Pinnacle odds conversion guide.

When +500 might be good value: comparing markets and removing bias

Value exists when the margin-adjusted probability is lower than your best estimate of the outcome's true chance; removing the bookmaker margin and comparing multiple market prices is the practical first step toward spotting value rather than relying on a single posted number Pinnacle odds conversion guide.

Identifying value versus probability

Use a simple method: compute the implied percent, rescale to remove overround across all outcomes, and compare the adjusted percent to your model or judgement; if your estimate exceeds the market-adjusted percent, the price may offer value.

Using multiple markets to cross-check prices

Compare the same market across different sources or exchange-style pricing to see if +500 is consistently offered or if one market appears out of line; consistent deviations can indicate an information edge or a temporary imbalance.

Regulatory notes and responsible-play reminders for U.S. bettors

U.S. consumer education emphasizes budgeting, wagering only what you can afford to lose, and seeking help if gambling causes harm; these principles are especially important when dealing with long-shot prices that create large variance American Gaming Association how-to guide.

Consumer resources and education

State consumer primers and industry resources provide practical steps for safer play, including limit-setting, self-exclusion options, and where to find counselling if needed Massachusetts consumer primer.

Practical next steps if you need help

If betting begins to interfere with daily life, pause activity, reach out to local resources, and review budgeting steps to reduce exposure to long-shot bets until your account and habits are stable.

Key takeaways: how to read +500 and make practical decisions when you bet on soccer

Three quick summary lines

+500 indicates an underdog where a $100 stake wins $500 profit and returns $600 total, and its implied probability equals 100 / (odds + 100), which for +500 is about 16.67 percent before removing bookmaker margin Investopedia moneyline guide.

Actionable checklist

Before you back a +500 soccer outcome, compute profit and total payout, check the three-way market context, adjust implied probabilities for the vig, and limit your stake to a predefined portion of your bankroll to control variance Pinnacle odds conversion guide.

What does +500 mean on a soccer moneyline?

A +500 moneyline means a $100 stake would win $500 profit and return $600 total if successful; its implied probability is 100/(500+100) or about 16.67 percent before removing bookmaker margin.

How do I calculate payout for a $10 stake at +500?

Use profit = stake × (odds/100). For $10 at +500 profit = 10 × 5 = $50, and total payout = $10 + $50 = $60.

Should I back every +500 price I find?

No. +500 is a long shot with high variance; assess value by removing vig, compare markets, and size stakes conservatively within a preset budget.

Use the formulas and checklist in this article to validate payouts, check market context, and limit exposure when you see +500 on a soccer market. Treat long shots as occasional plays and keep staking disciplined to manage variance and preserve your ability to make consistent predictions.